Good News for Republicans in WA-03
By Nansen at June 17th, 2010.There is some good news for Republicans in the 3rd District in the form of a June 14th survey from Moore Information. The generic Congressional preference question shows Republicans holding a 7 point lead over the Democrats, 42%-35%. The internals showing that Independent voters favor Republicans by a 3-1 margin are especially promising.
18th District Representative Jaime Herrera is a clear favorite among those who prefer a Republican for Congress, pulling 27% compared to 8% for David Hedrick and 8% for David Castillo, while 49% are still undecided.
Although the sample of 300 likely voters is admittedly small, it does give real evidence that the Republican resurgence sweeping the nation has reached our neck of the woods.
Tags: David Castillo, David Hedrick, Jaime Herrera, WA03
Nansen
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Hmmm, still no links to allow readers to verify and judge the worthiness of this “generic poll?”
Hate to tell you, but all 3 are Republicans, not just the establishment candidate.
Watch out for that 49% undecided too.
Lew, all she needed to write was Moore Information and I was sold on the poll. I went to their website and checked out their client list, and they look incredibly legitimate. You should take a look at it too.
18th District Representative Jaime Herrera is a clear favorite among those who prefer a Republican for Congress, pulling 27% compared to 8% for David Hedrick and 8% for David Castillo, while 49% are still undecided.
Don’t worry… Hedrick will get that 49% …
You had to be at the Convention to believe it. David Hedrick showed over 1,200 delegates that he was not just a moment. And no matter how much it hurts the other candidates, when the Columbian News editor says David Hedrick has the chops to do the job, when they are usually pro left, that says something the other candidates wish the Columbian said about them!
Interesting fact is the Republican Convention was a big event, but the other candidates did not do so well and it shows by their lack of talking about it.
When is Castillo and Herrera going to withdraw?
The true “Tea Party” candidate may be underfunded, but so were the Patriots many years ago and look what they did with so little. Then you can also go back to the real book where David with a little stone took out Goliath.
Miracles do happen, and it helps when you have a candidate like David W. Hedrick.
I also see that Cathy McMorris-Rogers has been endorsed by Sarah Palin, whom Jaime Herrera worked on Cathy’s staff in Washington DC before she got into the Washington State Legislature. I hope to see a Palin endorsement for Ms. Herrera in the near future. We need some common sense conservative women speaking for us in DC.
I have to agree with Al Folkner. I went to the convention decided on Dino Rossi for Senate and Jamie Herrera for congress and left there fully commited to Clint Didier for senate (Tea Party backed by Palin) and now considering between Herrera and Hedrick for congress. These are very impressive candidates if we want to start cleaning up and shrinking government.
Sorry Mike, but credible bloggers link back to the source of their claims, not expect readers to go search for it.
It would have been nice for Nansen to link to this poll as I fail to find it easily on Moore’s web site.
Gee Lew, The Columbian didnt link to the poll either. Here is the Columbian article: http://www.columbian.com/news/2010/jun/18/poll-says-republicans-herrera-trending-in-wa-3rd-c/
AND did you complain to Jim Geraghty who didn’t link the poll? On National Review Online – http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/230058/gop-42-democrat-35-washington-state
What? You don’t consider Geraghty a “credible blogger”? I am proud to be the first to break the story.
Lew: Let’s not get into sour grapes over who got the scoop on these poll numbers. It’s okay to have a favorite candidate in this race or others, clearly *you* do. But part of being a “credible” citizen-journalist, is respecting the anonymity of sources. We’re in this to break news, and share our perspectives with readers in the process. That’s why we get the traffic and readership we do. There’s nothing that says we have to share anything with the competition. Lest it be left to to your interpretation, we of course mean the Heck campaign — not you.
Nan, I commented on no link prior to seeing any Columbian article. But, I find it odd and telling that instead of just providing the poll for everyone’s perusal, you divert off into a tangent about comments elsewhere.
Why not just supply the link? Yours is the first I saw of this so-called poll, so I somehow assumed that maybe you could source your information.
Evan, there can be no sour grapes prior to someone winning the race. However, I see it a complete disservice to Republican voters in Counties that make endorsements in contested races long before the primaries and then pretend to be neutral.
And, since when are polls kept anonymous? I find promoting a poll far different than protecting “anonymous sources.” Poll results that cannot be seen as to methodology, demographics and such are highly suspicious, regardless of who they promote.
[...] showed again that she is neither neutral nor objective as she first ran with a short blog post, Good News for Republicans in WA. 03 as if this were an unbiased [...]
Bob Moore and Hans Kaiser sent this info out in an email to their email list. Here’s the email:
June 17, 2010
Washington’s Third Congressional District is very winnable for the GOP in 2010 and Jaime Herrera has a big lead in the Republican primary contest today. As you may know, the Third District was won by George W. Bush in ’00 and ’04 and Dino Rossi in ’04 and ’08 and today the District shows a seven-point GOP lead on the generic ballot;
“If the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or Democratic candidate?”
Republican 42%
Democratic 35%
Neither 3%
Depends/don’t know 20%
Importantly, Independent voters also favor a Republican by a three-to-one margin.
Among voters who prefer a Republican for Congress, Jaime Herrera has a wide lead over David Hedrick and David Castillo.
- Herrera is favored by 27%, Hedrick by 8% and Castillo by 8%. Forty-nine percent are undecided.
Further, a Republican candidate who will act as a check and balance in Congress against Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi is favored;
“Who would you prefer to represent you in Congress? A Republican member of Congress who will be a check and balance to Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi, or a Democrat member of Congress who will help Barack Obama and Congressional Democrats pass their agenda?”
Total Republican/check and balance to Obama 49%
Don’t know 10%
Total Democrat/help Obama pass agenda 41%
Independents favor a Republican who will act to check Obama and the Democrats, 46-21%.
Based on this survey, a Republican is well-positioned for election in the Third District and Herrera has a clear edge in the primary.
The survey was conducted by telephone, June 13-14, 2010, among a representative sample of 300 likely voters in the District. Potential sampling error is plus or minus 6% at the 95% confidence level.
Please let us know if you have questions.
Bob Moore and Hans Kaiser
Moore Information
http://www.moore-info.com
503-221-3100
I assume they’ll release the poll more widely soon. That’s what they usually do.
Don’t you go troublin yourselves with what a hack like Lew says. He clearly has Castillo on his brain, or in his wallet. This campaign is going to take everyone by suprise anyway because the people don’t want to hear more of the same rhetoric from the same politicians, ie Castillo, Herrera, Rossi. We want someone fresh in there!